{"database":"biostudies-literature","file_versions":[],"scores":null,"additional":{"omics_type":["Unknown"],"volume":["17(5)"],"submitter":["Kilpi F"],"pubmed_abstract":["<h4>Objective</h4>The present study aimed to model obesity trends and future obesity-related disease for nine countries in the Middle East; in addition, to explore how hypothetical reductions in population obesity levels could ameliorate anticipated disease burdens.<h4>Design</h4>A regression analysis of cross-sectional data v. BMI showed age- and sex-specific BMI trends, which fed into a micro simulation with a million Monte Carlo trials for each country. We also examined two alternative scenarios where population BMI was reduced by 1 % and 5 %.<h4>Setting</h4>Statistical modelling of obesity trends was carried out in nine Middle East countries (Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Turkey).<h4>Subjects</h4>BMI data along with disease incidence, mortality a"],"journal":["Public health nutrition"],"pagination":["1078-86"],"full_dataset_link":["https://www.ebi.ac.uk/biostudies/studies/S-EPMC10282274"],"repository":["biostudies-literature"],"pubmed_title":["Alarming predictions for obesity and non-communicable diseases in the Middle East."],"pmcid":["PMC10282274"],"pubmed_authors":["Musaigner A","McPherson K","Brown M","Marsh T","Aitsi-Selmi A","Kilpi F","Webber L","Rtveladze K"],"additional_accession":[]},"is_claimable":false,"name":"Alarming predictions for obesity and non-communicable diseases in the Middle East.","description":"<h4>Objective</h4>The present study aimed to model obesity trends and future obesity-related disease for nine countries in the Middle East; in addition, to explore how hypothetical reductions in population obesity levels could ameliorate anticipated disease burdens.<h4>Design</h4>A regression analysis of cross-sectional data v. BMI showed age- and sex-specific BMI trends, which fed into a micro simulation with a million Monte Carlo trials for each country. We also examined two alternative scenarios where population BMI was reduced by 1 % and 5 %.<h4>Setting</h4>Statistical modelling of obesity trends was carried out in nine Middle East countries (Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Turkey).<h4>Subjects</h4>BMI data along with disease incidence, mortality a","dates":{"release":"2014-01-01T00:00:00Z","publication":"2014 May","modification":"2025-04-05T14:02:14.515Z","creation":"2025-04-05T14:02:14.515Z"},"accession":"S-EPMC10282274","cross_references":{"pubmed":["23642403"],"doi":["10.1017/s1368980013000840","10.1017/S1368980013000840"]}}