biostudies-literatureZhao QQing ZhaoHufang Zhang98https://www.ebi.ac.uk/biostudies/studies/S-EPMC10888652biostudies-literatureUnknown15(2)The papaya mealybug, <i>Paracoccus marginatus</i>, is an invasive pest species found all over the world. It is native to Mexico and Central America, but is now present in more than 50 countries and regions, seriously threatening the economic viability of the agricultural and forestry industry. In the current study, the global potential distribution of <i>P. marginatus</i> was predicted under current and future climatic conditions using MaxEnt. The results of the model assessment indicated that the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic ( ROC-AUC) was 0.949, while the TSS value was 0.820. The results also showed that the three variables with the greatest impact on the model were min temperature of coldest month (bio6), precipitation of wettest month (bio13), and preciInsectsPotential Global Distribution of <i>Paracoccus marginatus</i>, under Climate Change Conditions, Using MaxEnt.PMC1088865231872272202103021224331Cai BLi HZhao QZhang HChen CWei JFan SfalsePotential Global Distribution of <i>Paracoccus marginatus</i>, under Climate Change Conditions, Using MaxEnt.The papaya mealybug, <i>Paracoccus marginatus</i>, is an invasive pest species found all over the world. It is native to Mexico and Central America, but is now present in more than 50 countries and regions, seriously threatening the economic viability of the agricultural and forestry industry. In the current study, the global potential distribution of <i>P. marginatus</i> was predicted under current and future climatic conditions using MaxEnt. The results of the model assessment indicated that the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic ( ROC-AUC) was 0.949, while the TSS value was 0.820. The results also showed that the three variables with the greatest impact on the model were min temperature of coldest month (bio6), precipitation of wettest month (bio13), and preci2024-01-01T00:00:00Z2024 Feb2025-04-25T20:49:16.915Z2025-04-06T08:32:32.651ZS-EPMC108886523839251710.3390/insects15020098