{"database":"biostudies-literature","file_versions":[],"scores":null,"additional":{"submitter":["O'Brien TA"],"funding":["Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia","Department of Energy","Indiana University","Lilly Endowment","National Science Foundation"],"pagination":["e2021JD036013"],"full_dataset_link":["https://www.ebi.ac.uk/biostudies/studies/S-EPMC9285484"],"repository":["biostudies-literature"],"omics_type":["Unknown"],"volume":["127(6)"],"pubmed_abstract":["The Atmospheric River (AR) Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) is a community effort to systematically assess how the uncertainties from AR detectors (ARDTs) impact our scientific understanding of ARs. This study describes the ARTMIP Tier 2 experimental design and initial results using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Phases 5 and 6 multi-model ensembles. We show that AR statistics from a given ARDT in CMIP5/6 historical simulations compare remarkably well with the MERRA-2 reanalysis. In CMIP5/6 future simulations, most ARDTs project a global increase in AR frequency, counts, and sizes, especially along the western coastlines of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. We find that the choice of ARDT is the dominant contributor to the uncertainty in projected AR frequency when compared with model choice. These results imply that new projects investigating future changes in ARs should explicitly consider ARDT uncertainty as a core part of the experimental design."],"journal":["Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres : JGR"],"pubmed_title":["Increases in Future AR Count and Size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 Experiment."],"pmcid":["PMC9285484"],"funding_grant_id":["CEECIND/00027/2017","WACCEM SFA","UIDP/500017/2020+UIDB/500017/2020","DGE‐1735040","CASCADE SFA","PTDC/CTA‐MET/29233/2017","CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019"],"pubmed_authors":["Wehner MF","McClenny E","Leung LR","Tome R","Ramos AM","Loring B","Collow A","Lora JM","Zarzycki C","Huang H","Nardi KM","Shearer EJ","Zhou Y","Gorodetskaya I","Ralph FM","Inda-Diaz HA","Payne AE","Ullrich PA","Rutz JJ","Rhoades AM","O'Brien TA","Shields CA","Sarangi C","Guan B"],"additional_accession":[]},"is_claimable":false,"name":"Increases in Future AR Count and Size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 Experiment.","description":"The Atmospheric River (AR) Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) is a community effort to systematically assess how the uncertainties from AR detectors (ARDTs) impact our scientific understanding of ARs. This study describes the ARTMIP Tier 2 experimental design and initial results using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Phases 5 and 6 multi-model ensembles. We show that AR statistics from a given ARDT in CMIP5/6 historical simulations compare remarkably well with the MERRA-2 reanalysis. In CMIP5/6 future simulations, most ARDTs project a global increase in AR frequency, counts, and sizes, especially along the western coastlines of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. We find that the choice of ARDT is the dominant contributor to the uncertainty in projected AR frequency when compared with model choice. These results imply that new projects investigating future changes in ARs should explicitly consider ARDT uncertainty as a core part of the experimental design.","dates":{"release":"2022-01-01T00:00:00Z","publication":"2022 Mar","modification":"2024-11-09T02:08:05.037Z","creation":"2022-08-05T06:19:20.39Z"},"accession":"S-EPMC9285484","cross_references":{"pubmed":["35859545"],"doi":["10.1029/2021JD036013"]}}