{"database":"biostudies-literature","file_versions":[],"scores":null,"additional":{"omics_type":["Unknown"],"volume":["12(1)"],"submitter":["Kaiho K"],"pubmed_abstract":["There have been five major mass extinctions and some minor mass extinctions of animals since early animal diversification 540-520 Myr ago. It is said that a sixth mass extinction is already underway. However, the future extinction magnitude has not been quantitatively estimated. Here, I show that the sixth major mass extinction (defined as > 60% species loss) will be avoided, but a minor mass extinction, 20-50% animal species loss (1% now), will occur when humans cause nuclear war and/or fail to stop increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, pollution, and deforestation until 2060-2080 CE. When humans decrease GHG emissions, pollution, and deforestation in 40 years and prevent nuclear war in the future, 10-15% animal species loss will occur. Humans should stop not only industrial GHG emis"],"journal":["Scientific reports"],"pagination":["19593"],"full_dataset_link":["https://www.ebi.ac.uk/biostudies/studies/S-EPMC9684554"],"repository":["biostudies-literature"],"pubmed_title":["Extinction magnitude of animals in the near future."],"pmcid":["PMC9684554"],"pubmed_authors":["Kaiho K"],"additional_accession":[]},"is_claimable":false,"name":"Extinction magnitude of animals in the near future.","description":"There have been five major mass extinctions and some minor mass extinctions of animals since early animal diversification 540-520 Myr ago. It is said that a sixth mass extinction is already underway. However, the future extinction magnitude has not been quantitatively estimated. Here, I show that the sixth major mass extinction (defined as > 60% species loss) will be avoided, but a minor mass extinction, 20-50% animal species loss (1% now), will occur when humans cause nuclear war and/or fail to stop increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, pollution, and deforestation until 2060-2080 CE. When humans decrease GHG emissions, pollution, and deforestation in 40 years and prevent nuclear war in the future, 10-15% animal species loss will occur. Humans should stop not only industrial GHG emis","dates":{"release":"2022-01-01T00:00:00Z","publication":"2022 Nov","modification":"2025-04-18T15:00:08.78Z","creation":"2025-04-07T01:26:27.383Z"},"accession":"S-EPMC9684554","cross_references":{"pubmed":["36418340"],"doi":["10.1038/s41598-022-23369-5"]}}