Projecting U.S. forest management, market, and carbon sequestration responses to a high-impact climate scenario.

ABSTRACT: The impact of climate change on forest ecosystems remains uncertain, with wide variation in potential climate impacts across different radiative forcing scenarios and global circulation models, as well as potential variation in forest productivity impacts across species and regions. This study uses an empirical forest composition model to estimate the impact of climate factors (temperature and precipitation) and other environmental parameters on forest productivity for 94 forest species across the conterminous United States. The composition model is linked to a dynamic optimization model of the U.S. forestry sector to quantify economic impacts of a high warming scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5) under six alternative climate projections and two socioeconomic scenarios. Res

SUBMITTER: Baker JS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10013705 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature