Distinct effectiveness in containing COVID-19 epidemic: Comparative analysis of two cities in China by mathematical modeling.

ABSTRACT: For better preparing future epidemic/pandemic, important lessons can be learned from how different parts of China responded to the early COVID-19 epidemic. In this study, we comparatively analyzed the effectiveness and investigated the mechanistic insight of two highly representative cities of China in containing this epidemic by mathematical modeling. Epidemiological data of Wuhan and Wenzhou was collected from local health commission, media reports and scientific literature. We used a deterministic, compartmental SEIR model to simulate the epidemic. Specific control measures were integrated into the model, and the model was calibrated to the recorded number of hospitalized cases. In the epicenter Wuhan, the estimated number of unisolated or unidentified cases approached 5000 before the d

SUBMITTER: Ji Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10021246 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature