Accuracy of Risk Estimation for Surgeons Versus Risk Calculators in Emergency General Surgery.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Surgical risk calculators have expanded in both number and sophistication of their predictive approach. These calculators are gaining popularity as validated tools to help surgeons estimate mortality and complications following emergency general surgery (EGS). However, the accuracy of risk estimates generated by these calculators compared to risk estimation by practicing surgeons has not been explored.

Methods

Acute care surgeons at a quaternary care center prospectively estimated 30-d mortality and complications for adult EGS patients (2019-2021). Surgeon predictions were compared to Predictive OpTimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER) and NSQIP estimates. Observed-to-expected (O:E) ratios of median aggregate estimates were calculated. C-statistics for s

SUBMITTER: Huckaby LV 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10024255 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature