Projection of Premature Cancer Mortality in Hunan, China, Through 2030: Modeling Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals for 2030 include reducing premature mortality from noncommunicable diseases by one-third. Although previous modeling studies have predicted premature mortality from noncommunicable diseases, the predictions for cancer and its subcategories are less well understood in China.

Objective

The aim of this study was to project premature cancer mortality of 10 leading cancers in Hunan Province, China, based on various scenarios of risk factor control so as to establish the priority for future interventions.

Methods

We used data collected between 2009 and 2017 from the Hunan cancer registry annual report as empirical data for projections. The population-attributable fraction was used to disaggregate cancer deaths into

SUBMITTER: Wu W 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10028508 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature