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Predicting outcomes of continuous renal replacement therapy using body composition monitoring: a deep-learning approach.

ABSTRACT: Fluid balance is a critical prognostic factor for patients with severe acute kidney injury (AKI) requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). This study evaluated whether repeated fluid balance monitoring could improve prognosis in this clinical population. This was a multicenter retrospective study that included 784 patients (mean age, 67.8 years; males, 66.4%) with severe AKI requiring CRRT during 2017-2019 who were treated in eight tertiary hospitals in Korea. Sequential changes in total body water were compared between patients who died (event group) and those who survived (control group) using mixed-effects linear regression analyses. The performance of various machine learning methods, including recurrent neural networks, was compared to that of existing prognostic clinical scores. After adjusting for confounding factors, a marginal benefit of fluid balance was identified for the control group compared to that for the event group (p = 0.074). The deep-learning model using a recurrent neural network with an autoencoder and including fluid balance monitoring provided the best differentiation between the groups (area under the curve, 0.793) compared to 0.604 and 0.606 for SOFA and APACHE II scores, respectively. Our prognostic, deep-learning model underlines the importance of fluid balance monitoring for prognosis assessment among patients receiving CRRT.

SUBMITTER: Yoo KD

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10030803 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predicting outcomes of continuous renal replacement therapy using body composition monitoring: a deep-learning approach.

Yoo Kyung Don KD Noh Junhyug J Bae Wonho W An Jung Nam JN Oh Hyung Jung HJ Rhee Harin H Seong Eun Young EY Baek Seon Ha SH Ahn Shin Young SY Cho Jang-Hee JH Kim Dong Ki DK Ryu Dong-Ryeol DR Kim Sejoong S Lim Chun Soo CS Lee Jung Pyo JP

Scientific reports 20230321 1

Fluid balance is a critical prognostic factor for patients with severe acute kidney injury (AKI) requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). This study evaluated whether repeated fluid balance monitoring could improve prognosis in this clinical population. This was a multicenter retrospective study that included 784 patients (mean age, 67.8 years; males, 66.4%) with severe AKI requiring CRRT during 2017-2019 who were treated in eight tertiary hospitals in Korea. Sequential changes in ...[more]

PMID: 36944678

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Project description:IntroductionContinuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is a prolonged continuous extracorporeal blood purification therapy to replace impaired renal function. Typically, CRRT therapy requires routine anticoagulation, but for patients at risk of bleeding and with contraindications to sodium citrate, anticoagulant-free dialysis therapy is necessary. However, this approach increases the risk of CRRT circuit coagulation, leading to treatment interruption and increased resource consumption. In this study, we utilized artificial intelligence machine learning methods to predict the risk of CRRT circuit coagulation based on pre-CRRT treatment metrics.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed 212 patients who underwent anticoagulant-free CRRT from October 2022 to October 2023. Patients were categorized into high-risk and low-risk groups based on CRRT circuit coagulation within 24 h. We employed eight machine learning methods to predict the risk of circuit coagulation. The performance of the model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic. 5-fold cross-validation was used to validate the machine learning models. Feature importance and SHAP plots were used to interpret the model's performance and key drivers.ResultsWe identified 88 patients (41.51%) at high risk of circuit coagulation within 24 h of CRRT. Our machine learning models showed excellent predictive performance, with ensemble learning achieving an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI: 0.860-0.868), outperforming individual algorithms. Random forest was the best single-algorithm model, with an AUC of 0.819 (95% CI: 0.814-0.823). The top three features identified as most important by the SHAP summary plot and feature importance graph are platelet, filtration fraction (FF), and triglycerides.ConclusionWe created a model using machine learning to predict the risk of circuit coagulation during anticoagulant-free CRRT therapy. Our model performs well (AUC 0.863) and identifies key factors like platelets, FF, and triglycerides. This facilitates the development of personalized treatment strategies by clinicians aimed at reducing circuit coagulation risk, thereby enhancing patient outcomes and reducing healthcare expenses.

Project description:Total and regional body composition are strongly correlated with metabolic syndrome and have been estimated non-invasively from 3D optical scans using linear parameterizations of body shape and linear regression models. Prior works produced accurate and precise predictions on many, but not all, body composition targets relative to the reference dual X-Ray absorptiometry (DXA) measurement. Here, we report the effects of replacing linear models with nonlinear parameterization and regression models on the precision and accuracy of body composition estimation in a novel application of deep 3D convolutional graph networks to human body composition modeling. We assembled an ensemble dataset of 4286 topologically standardized 3D optical scans from four different human body shape databases, DFAUST, CAESAR, Shape Up! Adults, and Shape Up! Kids and trained a parameterized shape model using a graph convolutional 3D autoencoder (3DAE) in lieu of linear PCA. We trained a nonlinear Gaussian process regression (GPR) on the 3DAE parameter space to predict body composition via correlations to paired DXA reference measurements from the Shape Up! scan subset. We tested our model on a set of 424 randomly withheld test meshes and compared the effects of nonlinear computation against prior linear models. Nonlinear GPR produced up to 20% reduction in prediction error and up to 30% increase in precision over linear regression for both sexes in 10 tested body composition variables. Deep shape features produced 6-8% reduction in prediction error over linear PCA features for males only and a 4-14% reduction in precision error for both sexes. Our best performing nonlinear model predicting body composition from deep features outperformed prior work using linear methods on all tested body composition prediction metrics in both precision and accuracy. All coefficients of determination (R2) for all predicted variables were above 0.86. We show that GPR is a more precise and accurate method for modeling body composition mappings from body shape features than linear regression. Deep 3D features learned by a graph convolutional autoencoder only improved male body composition accuracy but improved precision in both sexes. Our work achieved lower estimation RMSEs than all previous work on 10 metrics of body composition.

Dataset Information

Predicting outcomes of continuous renal replacement therapy using body composition monitoring: a deep-learning approach.

Publications

Predicting outcomes of continuous renal replacement therapy using body composition monitoring: a deep-learning approach.

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