Lifetime risk of herpes zoster in the population of Beijing, China.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

We aimed to estimate the current and future lifetime risks (LTR) of herpes zoster (HZ) and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), as well as their respective number of annual incident cases in Beijing, China, if individuals were not vaccinated against HZ.

Study design

Mathematical model built in Microsoft Excel, de novo.

Methods

A hypothetical cohort of 1,000 people was simulated from age 0-100 or until death to generate LTRs of HZ/PHN in Beijing, China. LTR was defined as the risk of developing HZ/PHN at least once in the person's lifetime. The current number of annual incident HZ/PHN cases were also calculated by multiplying up-to-date population data and the annual age-specific incidence of HZ/PHN. For both LTR and annual incident cases, current estimates

SUBMITTER: Lee C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10031117 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature