Regionally high risk increase for precipitation extreme events under global warming.

ABSTRACT: Daily precipitation extremes are projected to intensify with increasing moisture under global warming following the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relationship at about [Formula: see text]. However, this increase is not spatially homogeneous. Projections in individual models exhibit regions with substantially larger increases than expected from the CC scaling. Here, we leverage theory and observations of the form of the precipitation probability distribution to substantially improve intermodel agreement in the medium to high precipitation intensity regime, and to interpret projected changes in frequency in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. Besides particular regions where models consistently display super-CC behavior, we find substantial occurrence of super-CC behavior within a g

SUBMITTER: Martinez-Villalobos C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10076280 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature