Sea Level and Socioeconomic Uncertainty Drives High-End Coastal Adaptation Costs.

ABSTRACT: Sea-level rise and associated flood hazards pose severe risks to the millions of people globally living in coastal zones. Models representing coastal adaptation and impacts are important tools to inform the design of strategies to manage these risks. Representing the often deep uncertainties influencing these risks poses nontrivial challenges. A common uncertainty characterization approach is to use a few benchmark cases to represent the range and relative probabilities of the set of possible outcomes. This has been done in coastal adaptation studies, for example, by using low, moderate, and high percentiles of an input of interest, like sea-level changes. A key consideration is how this simplified characterization of uncertainty influences the distributions of estimated coastal impacts. H

SUBMITTER: Wong TE 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10078412 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature