Global burden prediction of gastric cancer during demographic transition from 2020 to 2040.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Despite the decline in the incidence and mortality rates of gastric cancer (GC), the impact of demographic transition on the global burden of GC remains unclear. The current study aimed to estimate the global disease burden through 2040 by age, sex, and region.

Methods

GC data for incident cases and deaths by age group and sex were taken from The Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) 2020. The incidence and mortality rates were predicted through 2040 by fitting a linear regression model over the most recent trend period with the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) data.

Results

The global population will grow to 9.19 billion by 2040, accompanied by increasing population ageing. The incidence and mortality rates of GC will show a persistent decrease, wi

SUBMITTER: Yan C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10106237 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature