Prediction of near-term climate change impacts on UK wheat quality and the potential for adaptation through plant breeding.

ABSTRACT: Wheat is a major crop worldwide, mainly cultivated for human consumption and animal feed. Grain quality is paramount in determining its value and downstream use. While we know that climate change threatens global crop yields, a better understanding of impacts on wheat end-use quality is also critical. Combining quantitative genetics with climate model outputs, we investigated UK-wide trends in genotypic adaptation for wheat quality traits. In our approach, we augmented genomic prediction models with environmental characterisation of field trials to predict trait values and climate effects in historical field trial data between 2001 and 2020. Addition of environmental covariates, such as temperature and rainfall, successfully enabled prediction of genotype by environment interactions (G × E

SUBMITTER: Fradgley NS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10108302 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature