Assessing the transmissibility of epidemics involving epidemic zoning.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Epidemic zoning is an important option in a series of measures for the prevention and control of infectious diseases. We aim to accurately assess the disease transmission process by considering the epidemic zoning, and we take two epidemics with distinct outbreak sizes as an example, i.e., the Xi'an epidemic in late 2021 and the Shanghai epidemic in early 2022.

Methods

For the two epidemics, the total cases were clearly distinguished by their reporting zone and the Bernoulli counting process was used to describe whether one infected case in society would be reported in control zones or not. Assuming the imperfect or perfect isolation policy in control zones, the transmission processes are respectively simulated by the adjusted renewal equation with case importatio

SUBMITTER: Yuan B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10111305 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature