Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria.

ABSTRACT:

Background

For their 2021-2025 National Malaria Strategic Plan (NMSP), Nigeria's National Malaria Elimination Programme (NMEP), in partnership with the World Health Organization (WHO), developed a targeted approach to intervention deployment at the local government area (LGA) level as part of the High Burden to High Impact response. Mathematical models of malaria transmission were used to predict the impact of proposed intervention strategies on malaria burden.

Methods

An agent-based model of Plasmodium falciparum transmission was used to simulate malaria morbidity and mortality in Nigeria's 774 LGAs under four possible intervention strategies from 2020 to 2030. The scenarios represented the previously implemented plan (business-as-usual), the NMSP at an 80% or higher covera

SUBMITTER: Ozodiegwu ID 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10130303 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature