Spatial and temporal dynamics of leptospirosis in South Brazil: A forecasting and nonlinear regression analysis.

ABSTRACT: Although leptospirosis is endemic in most Brazilian regions, South Brazil shows the highest morbidity and mortality rates in the country. The present study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal dynamics of leptospirosis cases in South Brazil to identify the temporal trends and high-risk areas for transmission and to propose a model to predict the disease incidence. An ecological study of leptospirosis cases in the 497 municipalities of the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, was conducted from 2007 to 2019. The spatial distribution of disease incidence in southern Rio Grande do Sul municipalities was evaluated, and a high incidence of the disease was identified using the hotspot density technique. The trend of leptospirosis over the study period was evaluated by time series analyses us

SUBMITTER: Teles AJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10132658 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature