Prediction of the spread of African swine fever through pig and carcass movements in Thailand using a network analysis and diffusion model.

ABSTRACT:

Background

African swine fever (ASF) is a serious contagious viral disease of pigs that affects the pig industry. This study aimed to evaluate the possible African swine fever (ASF) distribution using network analysis and a diffusion model through live pig, carcass, and pig product movement data.

Material and methods

Empirical movement data from Thailand for the year 2019 were used, and expert opinions were sought to evaluate network properties and the diffusion model. The networks were presented as live pig movement and carcass movement data at the provincial and district levels. For network analysis, a descriptive network analysis was performed using outdegree, indegree, betweenness, fragmentation, and power law distribution, and cutpoints were used to describe movement pa

SUBMITTER: Poolkhet C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10178211 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature