A Flexible Statistical Framework for Estimating Excess Mortality.

ABSTRACT: Quantifying the impact of natural disasters or epidemics is critical for guiding policy decisions and interventions. When the effects of an event are long-lasting and difficult to detect in the short term, the accumulated effects can be devastating. Mortality is one of the most reliably measured health outcomes, partly due to its unambiguous definition. As a result, excess mortality estimates are an increasingly effective approach for quantifying the effect of an event. However, the fact that indirect effects are often characterized by small, but enduring, increases in mortality rates present a statistical challenge. This is compounded by sources of variability introduced by demographic changes, secular trends, seasonal and day of the week effects, and natural variation. Here, we present a

SUBMITTER: Acosta RJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10200579 | biostudies-literature | 2022 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature