COVID-19 epidemic modelling for policy decision support in Victoria, Australia 2020-2021.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Policy responses to COVID-19 in Victoria, Australia over 2020-2021 have been supported by evidence generated through mathematical modelling. This study describes the design, key findings, and process for policy translation of a series of modelling studies conducted for the Victorian Department of Health COVID-19 response team during this period.

Methods

An agent-based model, Covasim, was used to simulate the impact of policy interventions on COVID-19 outbreaks and epidemic waves. The model was continually adapted to enable scenario analysis of settings or policies being considered at the time (e.g. elimination of community transmission versus disease control). Model scenarios were co-designed with government, to fill evidence gaps prior to key decisions.

Result

SUBMITTER: Scott N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10219801 | biostudies-literature | 2023 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature