Future trends in incidence and long-term survival of metastatic cancer in the United States.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Previous studies have demonstrated epidemiological trends in individual metastatic cancer subtypes; however, research forecasting long-term incidence trends and projected survivorship of metastatic cancers is lacking. We assess the burden of metastatic cancer to 2040 by (1) characterizing past, current, and forecasted incidence trends, and (2) estimating odds of long-term (5-year) survivorship.

Methods

This retrospective, serial cross-sectional, population-based study used registry data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER 9) database. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to describe cancer incidence trends from 1988 to 2018. Autoregressive integrating moving average (ARIMA) models were used to forecast the distribution of p

SUBMITTER: Hudock NL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10224927 | biostudies-literature | 2023 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature