Implications of Brexit on the effectiveness of the UK soft drinks industry levy upon CHD in England: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

An industry levy on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) was implemented in the UK in 2018. One year later, Brexit is likely to change the UK trade regime with potential implications for sugar price. We modelled the effect of potential changes in sugar price due to Brexit on SSB levy impacts upon CHD mortality and inequalities.

Design

We modelled a baseline SSB levy scenario; an SSB levy under 'soft' Brexit, where the UK establishes a free trading agreement with the EU; and an SSB levy under 'hard' Brexit, in which World Trade Organization tariffs are applied. We used the previously validated IMPACT Food Policy model and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to estimate the effect of each scenario on CHD deaths prevented or postponed and life-years gained, stratified by ag

SUBMITTER: Seferidi P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10260949 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature