Unequal Opportunity Spreaders: Higher COVID-19 Deaths with Later School Closure in the United States.

ABSTRACT: Mixed evidence on the relationship between school closure and COVID-19 prevalence could reflect focus on large-scale levels of geography, limited ability to address endogeneity, and demographic variation. Using county-level Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) COVID-19 data through June 15, 2020, two matching strategies address potential heterogeneity: nearest geographic neighbor and propensity scores. Within nearest neighboring pairs in different states with different school closure timing, each additional day from a county's first case until state-ordered school closure is related to 1.5 to 2.4 percent higher cumulative COVID-19 deaths per capita (1,227-1,972 deaths for a county with median population and deaths/capita). Results are consistent using propensity score matching,

SUBMITTER: Rauscher E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10275350 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature