Time series analysis of cutaneous leishmaniasis incidence in Shahroud based on ARIMA model.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Leishmaniasis is a zoonotic disease and Iran is one of the ten countries with has the highest estimated cases of leishmaniasis. This study aimed to determine the time trend of cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) incidence using the ARIMA model in Shahroud County, Semnan, Iran.

Methods

In this study, 725 patients with leishmaniasis were selected in the Health Centers of Shahroud during 2009-2020. Demographic characteristics including; history of traveling, history of leishmaniasis, co-morbidity of other family members, history of treatment, underlying disease, and diagnostic measures were collected using the patients' information listed in the Health Ministry portal. The Box-Jenkins approach was applied to fit the SARIMA model for CL incidence from 2009 to 2020. All stati

SUBMITTER: Majidnia M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10283195 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature