Modelling COVID-19 pandemic control strategies in metropolitan and rural health districts in New South Wales, Australia.

ABSTRACT: COVID-19 remains a significant public health problem in New South Wales, Australia. Although the NSW government is employing various control policies, more specific and compelling interventions are needed to control the spread of COVID-19. This paper presents a modified SEIR-X model based on a nonlinear ordinary differential equations system that considers the transmission routes from asymptomatic (Exposed) and symptomatic (Mild and Critical) individuals. The model is fitted to the corresponding cumulative number of cases in metropolitan and rural health districts of NSW reported by the Health Department and parameterised using the least-squares method. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], which measures the possible spread of COVID-19 in a population, is computed using the n

SUBMITTER: Rahman A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10293262 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature