Modeling the future of HIV in Turkey: Cost-effectiveness analysis of improving testing and diagnosis.

ABSTRACT:

Aims

This study aimed to determine HIV incidence and prevalence in Turkey and to estimate the cost-effectiveness of improving testing and diagnosis in the next 20 years.

Background

HIV incidence in Turkey has been rapidly increasing in the last decade with a particularly high rate of infection for younger populations, which underscores the urgent need for a robust prevention program and improved testing capacity for HIV.

Methods

We developed a dynamic compartmental model of HIV transmission and progression among the Turkish population aged 15-64 and assessed the effect of improving testing and diagnosis. The model generated the number of new HIV cases by transmission risk and CD4 level, HIV diagnoses, HIV prevalence, continuum of care, the number of HIV-related deaths

SUBMITTER: Yaylali E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10313051 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature