Projected burden of stroke in China through 2050.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Stroke is the leading cause of death in China, and predicting the stroke burden could provide essential information guiding the setting of medium- and long-term health policies and priorities. The study aimed to project trends associated with stroke burden in China through 2050, not only in terms of incidence and mortality but also for prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).

Methods

Data on stroke rates in incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs in China between 1990 and 2019 were obtained from a recent Global Burden of Disease study. Demographic-specific trends in rates over time were estimated using three models: the loglinear model, the Lee-Carter model, and a functional time series model. The mean absolute percentage error and the root mean squ

SUBMITTER: Yao M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10325738 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature