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Global climate-change trends detected in indicators of ocean ecology.


ABSTRACT: Strong natural variability has been thought to mask possible climate-change-driven trends in phytoplankton populations from Earth-observing satellites. More than 30 years of continuous data were thought to be needed to detect a trend driven by climate change1. Here we show that climate-change trends emerge more rapidly in ocean colour (remote-sensing reflectance, Rrs), because Rrs is multivariate and some wavebands have low interannual variability. We analyse a 20-year Rrs time series from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aboard the Aqua satellite, and find significant trends in Rrs for 56% of the global surface ocean, mainly equatorward of 40°. The climate-change signal in Rrs emerges after 20 years in similar regions covering a similar fraction of the ocean in a state-of-the-art ecosystem model2, which suggests that our observed trends indicate shifts in ocean colour-and, by extension, in surface-ocean ecosystems-that are driven by climate change. On the whole, low-latitude oceans have become greener in the past 20 years.

SUBMITTER: Cael BB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10356596 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Global climate-change trends detected in indicators of ocean ecology.

Cael B B BB   Bisson Kelsey K   Boss Emmanuel E   Dutkiewicz Stephanie S   Henson Stephanie S  

Nature 20230712 7970


Strong natural variability has been thought to mask possible climate-change-driven trends in phytoplankton populations from Earth-observing satellites. More than 30 years of continuous data were thought to be needed to detect a trend driven by climate change<sup>1</sup>. Here we show that climate-change trends emerge more rapidly in ocean colour (remote-sensing reflectance, R<sub>rs</sub>), because R<sub>rs</sub> is multivariate and some wavebands have low interannual variability. We analyse a 2  ...[more]

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