Mortality among populations affected by armed conflict in northeast Nigeria, 2016 to 2019.

ABSTRACT: Armed conflict, displacement and food insecurity have affected Adamawa, Borno, and Yobe states of northeast Nigeria (population ≈ 12 million) since 2009. Insecurity escalated in 2013 to 2015, but the humanitarian response was delayed and the crisis' health impact was unquantified due to incomplete death registration and limited ground access. We estimated mortality attributable to this crisis using a small-area estimation approach that circumvented these challenges. We fitted a mixed effects model to household mortality data collected as part of 70 ground surveys implemented by humanitarian actors. Model predictors, drawn from existing data, included livelihood typology, staple cereal price, vaccination geocoverage, and humanitarian actor presence. To project accurate death tolls, we recon

SUBMITTER: Checchi F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10372555 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature