Dataset Information

Machine learning-based models for predicting mortality and acute kidney injury in critical pulmonary embolism.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

We aimed to use machine learning (ML) algorithms to risk stratify the prognosis of critical pulmonary embolism (PE).

Material and methods

In total, 1229 patients were obtained from MIMIC-IV database. Main outcomes were set as all-cause mortality within 30 days. Logistic regression (LR) and simplified eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were applied for model constructions. We chose the final models based on their matching degree with data. To simplify the model and increase its usefulness, finally simplified models were built based on the most important 8 variables. Discrimination and calibration were exploited to evaluate the prediction ability. We stratified the risk groups based on risk estimate deciles.

Results

The simplified XGB model performed better in model discrimination, which AUC were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78-0.87) in the validation cohort, compared with the AUC of simplified LR model (0.75 [95% CI: 0.69-0.80]). And XGB performed better than sPESI in the validation cohort. A new risk-classification based on XGB could accurately predict low-risk of mortality, and had high consistency with acknowledged risk scores.

Conclusions

ML models can accurately predict the 30-day mortality of critical PE patients, which could further be used to reduce the burden of ICU stay, decrease the mortality and improve the quality of life for critical PE patients.

SUBMITTER: Wang G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10399014 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Machine learning-based models for predicting mortality and acute kidney injury in critical pulmonary embolism.

Wang Geng G Wang Geng G Xu Jiatang J Lin Xixia X Lai Weijie W Lv Lin L Peng Senyi S Li Kechen K Luo Mingli M Chen Jiale J Zhu Dongxi D Chen Xiong X Yao Chen C Wu Shaoxu S Huang Kai K

BMC cardiovascular disorders 20230802 1

<h4>Objectives</h4>We aimed to use machine learning (ML) algorithms to risk stratify the prognosis of critical pulmonary embolism (PE).<h4>Material and methods</h4>In total, 1229 patients were obtained from MIMIC-IV database. Main outcomes were set as all-cause mortality within 30 days. Logistic regression (LR) and simplified eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were applied for model constructions. We chose the final models based on their matching degree with data. To simplify the model and incr ...[more]

PMID: 37533004

Similar Datasets

Project description:IntroductionApproximately 7,000 newborns die every day, accounting for almost half of child deaths under 5 years of age. Deciphering which neonates are at increased risk for mortality can have an important global impact. As such, integrating high computational technology (e.g., artificial intelligence [AI]) may help identify the early and potentially modifiable predictors of neonatal mortality. Therefore, the objective of this study was to collate, critically appraise, and analyze neonatal prediction studies that included AI.MethodsA literature search was performed in PubMed, Cochrane, OVID, and Google Scholar. We included studies that used AI (e.g., machine learning (ML) and deep learning) to formulate prediction models for neonatal death. We excluded small studies (n < 500 individuals) and studies using only antenatal factors to predict mortality. Two independent investigators screened all articles for inclusion. The data collection consisted of study design, number of models, features used per model, feature importance, internal and/or external validation, and calibration analysis. Our primary outcome was the average area under the receiving characteristic curve (AUC) or sensitivity and specificity for all models included in each study.ResultsOf 434 articles, 11 studies were included. The total number of participants was 1.26 M with gestational ages ranging from 22 weeks to term. Number of features ranged from 3 to 66 with timing of prediction as early as 5 min of life to a maximum of 7 days of age. The average number of models per study was 4, with neural network, random forest, and logistic regression comprising the most used models (58.3%). Five studies (45.5%) reported calibration plots and 2 (18.2%) conducted external validation. Eight studies reported results by AUC and 5 studies reported the sensitivity and specificity. The AUC varied from 58.3% to 97.0%. The mean sensitivities ranged from 63% to 80% and specificities from 78% to 99%. The best overall model was linear discriminant analysis, but it also had a high number of features (n = 17).Discussion/conclusionML models can accurately predict death in neonates. This analysis demonstrates the most commonly used predictors and metrics for AI prediction models for neonatal mortality. Future studies should focus on external validation, calibration, as well as deployment of applications that can be readily accessible to health-care providers.

Project description:BackgroundThe variations in outcome and frequent occurrence of kidney allograft failure continue to pose important clinical and research challenges despite recent advances in kidney transplantation. The aim of this systematic review was to examine the current application of machine learning models in kidney transplantation and perform a meta-analysis of these models in the prediction of graft survival.MethodsThis review was registered with the PROSPERO database (CRD42021247469) and all peer-reviewed original articles that reported machine learning model-based prediction of graft survival were included. Quality assessment was performed by the criteria defined by Qiao and risk-of-bias assessment was performed using the PROBAST tool. The diagnostic performance of the meta-analysis was assessed by a meta-analysis of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic plot.ResultsA total of 31 studies met the inclusion criteria for the review and 27 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Twenty-nine different machine learning models were used to predict graft survival in the included studies. Nine studies compared the predictive performance of machine learning models with traditional regression methods. Five studies had a high risk of bias and three studies had an unclear risk of bias. The area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.82 and the summary sensitivity and specificity of machine learning-based models were 0.81 (95 per cent c.i. 0.76 to 0.86) and 0.81 (95 per cent c.i. 0.74 to 0.86) respectively for the overall model. The diagnostic odds ratio for the overall model was 18.24 (95 per cent c.i. 11.00 to 30.16) and 29.27 (95 per cent c.i. 13.22 to 44.46) based on the sensitivity analyses.ConclusionPrediction models using machine learning methods may improve the prediction of outcomes after kidney transplantation by the integration of the vast amounts of non-linear data.

Project description:We aim to develop machine learning (ML) models for predicting the complexity and mortality of polytrauma patients using clinical features, including physician diagnoses and physiological data. We conducted a retrospective analysis of a cohort comprising 756 polytrauma patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at Pizhou People's Hospital Trauma Center, Jiangsu, China between 2020 and 2022. Clinical parameters encompassed demographics, vital signs, laboratory values, clinical scores and physician diagnoses. The two primary outcomes considered were mortality and complexity. We developed ML models to predict polytrauma mortality or complexity using four ML algorithms, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). We assessed the models' performance and compared the optimal ML model against three existing trauma evaluation scores, including Injury Severity Score (ISS), Trauma Index (TI) and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS). In addition, we identified several important clinical predictors that made contributions to the prognostic models. The XGBoost-based polytrauma mortality prediction model demonstrated a predictive ability with an accuracy of 90% and an F-score of 88%, outperforming SVM, RF and ANN models. In comparison to conventional scoring systems, the XGBoost model had substantial improvements in predicting the mortality of polytrauma patients. External validation yielded strong stability and generalization with an accuracy of up to 91% and an AUC of 82%. To predict polytrauma complexity, the XGBoost model maintained its performance over other models and scoring systems with good calibration and discrimination abilities. Feature importance analysis highlighted several clinical predictors of polytrauma complexity and mortality, such as Intracranial hematoma (ICH). Leveraging ML algorithms in polytrauma care can enhance the prognostic estimation of polytrauma patients. This approach may have potential value in the management of polytrauma patients.

Project description:BackgroundPulmonary embolism (PE) is life-threatening and requires timely and accurate diagnosis, yet current imaging methods, like computed tomography pulmonary angiography, present limitations, particularly for patients with contraindications to iodinated contrast agents. We aimed to develop a quantitative texture analysis pipeline using machine learning (ML) based on non-contrast thoracic computed tomography (CT) scans to discover intensity and textural features correlated with regional lung perfusion (Q) physiology and pathology and synthesize voxel-wise Q surrogates to assist in PE diagnosis.MethodsWe retrospectively collected 99mTc-labeled macroaggregated albumin Q-SPECT/CT scans from patients suspected of PE, including an internal dataset of 76 patients (64 for training, 12 for testing) and an external testing dataset of 49 patients. Quantitative CT features were extracted from segmented lung subregions and underwent a two-stage feature selection pipeline. The prior-knowledge-driven preselection stage screened for robust and non-redundant perfusion-correlated features, while the data-driven selection stage further filtered features by fitting ML models for classification. The final classification model, trained with the highest-performing PE-associated feature combination, was evaluated in the testing cohorts based on the Area Under the Curve (AUC) for subregion-level predictability. The voxel-wise Q surrogate was then synthesized using the final selected feature maps (FMs) and model score maps (MSMs) to investigate spatial distributions. The Spearman correlation coefficient (SCC) and Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) were used to assess the spatial consistency between FMs or MSMs and Q-SPECT scans.ResultsThe optimal model performance achieved an AUC of 0.863 during internal testing and 0.828 on the external testing cohort. The model identified a combination containing 14 intensity and textural features that were non-redundant, robust, and capable of distinguishing between high- and low-functional lung regions. Spatial consistency assessment in the internal testing cohort showed moderate-to-high agreement between MSMs and reference Q-SPECT scans, with median SCC of 0.66, median DSCs of 0.86 and 0.64 for high- and low-functional regions, respectively.ConclusionsThis study validated the feasibility of using quantitative texture analysis and a data-driven ML pipeline to generate voxel-wise lung perfusion surrogates, providing a radiation-free, widely accessible alternative to functional lung imaging in managing pulmonary vascular diseases.Clinical trial numberNot applicable.

Dataset Information

Machine learning-based models for predicting mortality and acute kidney injury in critical pulmonary embolism.

Objectives

Material and methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Machine learning-based models for predicting mortality and acute kidney injury in critical pulmonary embolism.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets