Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Bhatkar S
PROVIDER: S-EPMC10402219 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Bhatkar Sayali S Ma Mingyang M Zsolway Mary M Tarafder Ayush A Doniach Sebastian S Bhanot Gyan G
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences 20230801
Within the context of the standard SIR model of pandemics, we show that the asymmetry in the peak in recorded daily cases during a pandemic can be used to infer the pandemic R-parameter. Using only daily data for symptomatic, confirmed cases, we derive a universal scaling curve that yields: (i) r<sub>eff</sub>, the pandemic R-parameter; (ii) L<sub>eff</sub>, the effective latency, the average number of days an infected individual is able to infect others and (iii) α, the probability of infection ...[more]