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Developing prognostic models for health care utilization in patients with work-related mental health problems.


ABSTRACT:

Background

The long-term prognosis for employees with work-related mental health problems is unclear. We aim to describe long-term trends in health care utilization (HCU) and develop multivariable prognostic models for long-term mental health care utilization.

Methods

From the Danish Occupational Medicine Cohort we included mental health patients (N = 17,822) assessed from 2000 to 2013 at Departments of Occupational Medicine. Outcomes were general health (general practitioner, somatic hospital) and mental health (psychiatrist/psychologist, psychiatric hospital) HCU obtained from registries five years before/after assessment. The 10-year period was divided into phases relative to assessment: 5 - 3 years before, 2 years before/after, and 3-5 years after. We developed gender-stratified Lasso-penalized multivariable prognostic models for HCU 3-5 years after assessment assessing both calibration and discrimination.

Results

Prevalent HCU for general practitioner, psychiatrist/psychologist and psychiatric hospital services was relatively stable 5 - 3 years prior to assessment, then rising during the 2 years before/after. At 3-5 years after assessment prevalent general practitioner HCU declined to previous levels, while prevalent HCU for psychologist/psychiatrist and psychiatric hospital services remained elevated compared to previous levels during years 5 - 3. Prognostic models for long-term psychologist/psychiatrist and psychiatric hospital HCU indicated acceptable calibration and modest discrimination.

Conclusions

Prevalent HCU rose two years before/after assessment and remained elevated for psychiatrist/psychologist and psychiatric hospital HCU 3-5 years after. Gender-stratified prognostic models were developed for long-term mental health HCU, but discrimination and calibration should be further improved before out-of-sample application for personal prognosis.

Trial registration

The study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (Identifier: NCT04459793) prior to analyses.

SUBMITTER: Willert MV 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10405445 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Developing prognostic models for health care utilization in patients with work-related mental health problems.

Willert Morten Vejs MV   Christiansen David Høyrup DH   Dalgaard Ligaya L   Vestergaard Jesper Medom JM   Andersen Johan Hviid JH   Kyndi Marianne M  

BMC health services research 20230807 1


<h4>Background</h4>The long-term prognosis for employees with work-related mental health problems is unclear. We aim to describe long-term trends in health care utilization (HCU) and develop multivariable prognostic models for long-term mental health care utilization.<h4>Methods</h4>From the Danish Occupational Medicine Cohort we included mental health patients (N = 17,822) assessed from 2000 to 2013 at Departments of Occupational Medicine. Outcomes were general health (general practitioner, som  ...[more]

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