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Physics-informed deep learning to forecast [Formula: see text] during hydraulic fracturing.


ABSTRACT: Short-term forecasting of estimated maximum magnitude ([Formula: see text]) is crucial to mitigate risks of induced seismicity during fluid stimulation. Most previous methods require real-time injection data, which are not always available. This study proposes two deep learning (DL) approaches, along with two data-partitioning methods, that rely solely on preceding patterns of seismicity. The first approach forecasts [Formula: see text] directly using DL; the second incorporates physical constraints by using DL to forecast seismicity rate, which is then used to estimate [Formula: see text]. These approaches are tested using a hydraulic-fracture monitoring dataset from western Canada. We find that direct DL learns from previous seismicity patterns to provide an accurate forecast, albeit wit

SUBMITTER: Li Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10423224 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature