Future Temperature-Related Deaths in the U.S.: The Impact of Climate Change, Demographics, and Adaptation.

ABSTRACT: Mortality due to extreme temperatures is one of the most worrying impacts of climate change. In this analysis, we use historic mortality and temperature data from 106 cities in the United States to develop a model that predicts deaths attributable to temperature. With this model and projections of future temperature from climate models, we estimate temperature-related deaths in the United States due to climate change, changing demographics, and adaptation. We find that temperature-related deaths increase rapidly as the climate warms, but this is mainly due to an expanding and aging population. For global average warming below 3°C above pre-industrial levels, we find that climate change slightly reduces temperature-related mortality in the U.S. because the reduction of cold-related mortalit

SUBMITTER: Lee J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10426332 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature