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Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions.


ABSTRACT: Expectations are often dynamic: sports fans know that expectations are rapidly updated as games unfold. Yet expectations have traditionally been studied as static. Here we present behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second changes in expectations using slot machines as a case study. In Study 1, we demonstrate that EEG signal before the slot machine stops varies based on proximity to winning. Study 2 introduces a behavioral paradigm to measure dynamic expectations via betting, and shows that expectation trajectories vary as a function of winning proximity. Notably, these expectation trajectories parallel Study 1's EEG activity. Studies 3 (EEG) and 4 (behavioral) replicate these findings in the loss domain. These four studies provide compelling evidence that dynamic sub-second updates in expectations can be behaviorally and electrophysiologically measured. Our research opens promising avenues for understanding the dynamic nature of reward expectations and their impact on cognitive processes.

SUBMITTER: Marciano D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10449862 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Dynamic expectations: Behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second updates in reward predictions.

Marciano Déborah D   Bellier Ludovic L   Mayer Ida I   Ruvalcaba Michael M   Lee Sangil S   Hsu Ming M   Knight Robert T RT  

Communications biology 20230824 1


Expectations are often dynamic: sports fans know that expectations are rapidly updated as games unfold. Yet expectations have traditionally been studied as static. Here we present behavioral and electrophysiological evidence of sub-second changes in expectations using slot machines as a case study. In Study 1, we demonstrate that EEG signal before the slot machine stops varies based on proximity to winning. Study 2 introduces a behavioral paradigm to measure dynamic expectations via betting, and  ...[more]

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