Impact of changing the prevalence of smoking, alcohol consumption and overweight/obesity on cancer incidence in China from 2021 to 2050: a simulation modelling study

ABSTRACT: Summary

Background

Smoking, alcohol consumption and overweight/obesity are key cancer risk factors contributing to the cancer burden in China. We aimed to quantify the cancer burden in China associated with smoking, alcohol consumption and overweight/obesity, and estimate the potential effect for cancer prevention interventions under different scenarios.

Methods

We used a macro-simulation approach called Prevent Model to estimate for a 30-year study period (2021–2050) numbers and proportions of future avoidable cancer cases under different scenarios of reducing the prevalence of smoking, alcohol consumption and overweight/obesity in Chinese adults. Cancer incidence was predicted under three scenarios: elimination, ambitious target (between elimination and manageable targe

SUBMITTER: Song S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10468350 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature