Future temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Climate change is expected to increase global temperatures. How temperature-related mortality risk will change is not completely understood, and how future demographic changes will affect temperature-related mortality needs to be clarified. We evaluate temperature-related mortality across Canada until 2099, accounting for age groups and scenarios of population growth.

Methods

We used daily counts of non-accidental mortality for 2000 to 2015 for all 111 health regions across Canada, incorporating in the study both urban and rural areas. A two-part time series analysis was used to estimate associations between mean daily temperatures and mortality. First, current and future daily mean temperature time series simulations were developed from Coupled Model Inter-Compari

SUBMITTER: Hebbern C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10484859 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature