Mathematical model estimation of dengue fever transmission risk from Southeast and South Asia into Japan between 2016 and 2018.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Dengue fever is a viral infection transmitted to humans through the bite of a mosquito infected with the dengue virus. Dengue is one of the most common infectious diseases in the world, and its incidence is rapidly increasing. We estimated the risk of dengue importation from endemic countries to Japan and the transmission risk within Japan using data collected between 2016 and 2018.

Methods

We conducted simulations that included the number of reported dengue infections and travelers per month in ten countries in Southeast and South Asia.

Results

The estimated importation risks for Japanese returnees and international travelers from each of the ten endemic countries was approximately 1.0 every month from 2016 to 2018. The autochthonous transmission risk in J

SUBMITTER: Sakamoto K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10495242 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature