Dataset Information

Added value of CE-CT radiomics to predict high Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma.

ABSTRACT:

Background

This study aimed to develop a computed tomography (CT) model to predict Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to examine the added value of radiomics to clinico-radiological features.

Methods

A total of 208 patients (training set, n = 120; internal test set, n = 51; external validation set, n = 37) with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) within 1 month before surgery were retrospectively included from January 2014 to September 2021. Radiomics features were extracted and selected from three phases of CE-CT images, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression (LASSO) was used to select features, and the rad-score was calculated. CE-CT imaging and clinical features were selected using univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively. Three prediction models, including clinic-radiologic (CR) model, rad-score (R) model, and clinic-radiologic-radiomic (CRR) model, were developed and validated using logistic regression analysis. The performance of different models for predicting Ki-67 expression was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

HCCs with high Ki-67 expression were more likely to have high serum α-fetoprotein levels (P = 0.041, odds ratio [OR] 2.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-6.21), non-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (P = 0.001, OR 15.13, 95% CI 2.87-79.76), portal vein tumor thrombus (P = 0.035, OR 3.19, 95% CI: 1.08-9.37), and two-trait predictor of venous invasion (P = 0.026, OR 14.04, 95% CI: 1.39-144.32). The CR model achieved relatively good and stable performance compared with the R model (AUC, 0.805 [95% CI: 0.683-0.926] vs. 0.678 [95% CI: 0.536-0.839], P = 0.211; and 0.805 [95% CI: 0.657-0.953] vs. 0.667 [95% CI: 0.495-0.839], P = 0.135) in the internal and external validation sets. After combining the CR model with the R model, the AUC of the CRR model increased to 0.903 (95% CI: 0.849-0.956) in the training set, which was significantly higher than that of the CR model (P = 0.0148). However, no significant differences were found between the CRR and CR models in the internal and external validation sets (P = 0.264 and P = 0.084, respectively).

Conclusions

Preoperative models based on clinical and CE-CT imaging features can be used to predict HCC with high Ki-67 expression accurately. However, radiomics cannot provide added value.

SUBMITTER: Zhao YM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10514983 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Added value of CE-CT radiomics to predict high Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Zhao Yu-Meng YM Xie Shuang-Shuang SS Wang Jian J Zhang Ya-Min YM Li Wen-Cui WC Ye Zhao-Xiang ZX Shen Wen W

BMC medical imaging 20230922 1

<h4>Background</h4>This study aimed to develop a computed tomography (CT) model to predict Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to examine the added value of radiomics to clinico-radiological features.<h4>Methods</h4>A total of 208 patients (training set, n = 120; internal test set, n = 51; external validation set, n = 37) with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) within 1 month before surgery were retrospectively included from January 2014 to ...[more]

PMID: 37737166

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Project description:BackgroundRadiomics have been increasingly used in the clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), such as markers prediction. Ki-67 and cytokeratin 19 (CK-19) are important prognostic markers of HCC. Radiomics has been introduced by many researchers in the prediction of these markers expression, but its diagnostic value remains controversial. Therefore, this review aims to assess the diagnostic value of radiomics in predicting Ki-67 and CK-19 expression in HCC.MethodsOriginal studies were systematically searched in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science from inception to May 2023. All included studies were evaluated by the radiomics quality score. The C-index was used as the effect size of the performance of radiomics in predicting Ki-67and CK-19 expression, and the positive cutoff values of Ki-67 label index (LI) were determined by subgroup analysis and meta-regression.ResultsWe identified 34 eligible studies for Ki-67 (18 studies) and CK-19 (16 studies). The most common radiomics source was magnetic resonance imaging (MRI; 25/34). The pooled C-index of MRI-based models in predicting Ki-67 was 0.89 (95% CI:0.86-0.92) in the training set, and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82-0.92) in the validation set. The pooled C-index of MRI-based models in predicting CK-19 was 0.86 (95% CI:0.81-0.90) in the training set, and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.73-0.84) in the validation set. Subgroup analysis suggested Ki-67 LI cutoff was a significant source of heterogeneity (I 2 = 0.0% P>0.05), and meta-regression showed that the C-index increased as Ki-67 LI increased.ConclusionRadiomics shows promising diagnostic value in predicting positive Ki-67 or CK-19 expression. But lacks standardized guidelines, which makes the model and variables selection dependent on researcher experience, leading to study heterogeneity. Therefore, standardized guidelines are warranted for future research.Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42023427953.

Project description:BackgroundRadiomics, an emerging field, presents a promising avenue for the accurate prediction of biomarkers in different solid cancers. Lung cancer remains a significant global health challenge, contributing substantially to cancer-related mortality. Accurate assessment of Ki-67, a marker reflecting cellular proliferation, is crucial for evaluating tumor aggressiveness and treatment responsiveness, particularly in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).MethodsA systematic review and meta-analysis conducted following the preferred reporting items for systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies (PRISMA-DTA) guidelines. Two authors independently conducted a literature search until September 23, 2023, in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science. The focus was on identifying radiomics studies that predict Ki-67 expression in lung cancer. We evaluated quality using both Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) and the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) tools. For statistical analysis in the meta-analysis, we used STATA 14.2 to assess sensitivity, specificity, heterogeneity, and diagnostic values.ResultsTen retrospective studies were pooled in the meta-analysis. The findings demonstrated that the use of computed tomography (CT) scan-based radiomics for predicting Ki-67 expression in lung cancer exhibited encouraging diagnostic performance. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) in training cohorts were 0.78, 0.81, and 0.85, respectively. In validation cohorts, these values were 0.78, 0.70, and 0.81. Quality assessment using QUADAS-2 and RQS indicated generally acceptable study quality. Heterogeneity in training cohorts, attributed to factors like contrast-enhanced CT scans and specific Ki-67 thresholds, was observed. Notably, publication bias was detected in the training cohort, indicating that positive results are more likely to be published than non-significant or negative results. Thus, journals are encouraged to publish negative results as well.ConclusionIn summary, CT-based radiomics exhibit promise in predicting Ki-67 expression in lung cancer. While the results suggest potential clinical utility, additional research efforts should concentrate on enhancing diagnostic accuracy. This could pave the way for the integration of radiomics methods as a less invasive alternative to current procedures like biopsy and surgery in the assessment of Ki-67 expression.

Dataset Information

Added value of CE-CT radiomics to predict high Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Added value of CE-CT radiomics to predict high Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Similar Datasets

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