Illicit trade and real prices of cigarettes in Chile.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

The tobacco industry claims that tobacco taxes are responsible for increased illicit trade in Chile, which they estimated at 37% in 2022. However, the evolution of cigarette consumption, estimated from population surveys, and of tax-paying cigarettes shows a decreasing penetration of illicit trade since 2018.

Methods

A gap analysis was used to estimate the evolution of illicit trade based on an arithmetic identity stating that total national cigarette consumption over a given period is equal to the registered consumption as paying taxes plus the cigarettes that are consumed nationally without paying taxes.

Results

Illicit trade penetration in Chile was around 10% in 2020, less than half of what the tobacco industry claimed. In addition, the evolution of r

SUBMITTER: Paraje G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10519129 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature