Dataset Information

Predicting time-to-conversion for dementia of Alzheimer's type using multi-modal deep survival analysis.

ABSTRACT: Dementia of Alzheimer's Type (DAT) is a complex disorder influenced by numerous factors, and it is difficult to predict individual progression trajectory from normal or mildly impaired cognition to DAT. An in-depth examination of multiple modalities of data may yield an accurate estimate of time-to-conversion to DAT for preclinical subjects at various stages of disease development. We used a deep-learning model designed for survival analyses to predict subjects' time-to-conversion to DAT using the baseline data of 401 subjects with 63 features from MRI, genetic, and CDC (Cognitive tests, Demographic, and CSF) data in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. Our study demonstrated that CDC data outperform genetic or MRI data in predicting DAT time-to-conversion for subjects with Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). On the other hand, genetic data provided the most predictive power for subjects with Normal Cognition (NC) at the time of the visit. Furthermore, combining MRI and genetic features improved the time-to-event prediction over using either modality alone. Finally, adding CDC to any combination of features only worked as well as using only the CDC features.

SUBMITTER: Mirabnahrazam G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10535369 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Predicting time-to-conversion for dementia of Alzheimer's type using multi-modal deep survival analysis.

Mirabnahrazam Ghazal G Ma Da D Beaulac Cédric C Lee Sieun S Popuri Karteek K Lee Hyunwoo H Cao Jiguo J Galvin James E JE Wang Lei L Beg Mirza Faisal MF

Neurobiology of aging 20221017

Dementia of Alzheimer's Type (DAT) is a complex disorder influenced by numerous factors, and it is difficult to predict individual progression trajectory from normal or mildly impaired cognition to DAT. An in-depth examination of multiple modalities of data may yield an accurate estimate of time-to-conversion to DAT for preclinical subjects at various stages of disease development. We used a deep-learning model designed for survival analyses to predict subjects' time-to-conversion to DAT using t ...[more]

PMID: 36442416

Similar Datasets

Project description:High-grade gliomas are the most aggressive malignant brain tumors. Accurate pre-operative prognosis for this cohort can lead to better treatment planning. Conventional survival prediction based on clinical information is subjective and could be inaccurate. Recent radiomics studies have shown better prognosis by using carefully-engineered image features from magnetic resonance images (MRI). However, feature engineering is usually time consuming, laborious and subjective. Most importantly, the engineered features cannot effectively encode other predictive but implicit information provided by multi-modal neuroimages. We propose a two-stage learning-based method to predict the overall survival (OS) time of high-grade gliomas patient. At the first stage, we adopt deep learning, a recently dominant technique of artificial intelligence, to automatically extract implicit and high-level features from multi-modal, multi-channel preoperative MRI such that the features are competent of predicting survival time. Specifically, we utilize not only contrast-enhanced T1 MRI, but also diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) and resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI), for computing multiple metric maps (including various diffusivity metric maps derived from DTI, and also the frequency-specific brain fluctuation amplitude maps and local functional connectivity anisotropy-related metric maps derived from rs-fMRI) from 68 high-grade glioma patients with different survival time. We propose a multi-channel architecture of 3D convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for deep learning upon those metric maps, from which high-level predictive features are extracted for each individual patch of these maps. At the second stage, those deeply learned features along with the pivotal limited demographic and tumor-related features (such as age, tumor size and histological type) are fed into a support vector machine (SVM) to generate the final prediction result (i.e., long or short overall survival time). The experimental results demonstrate that this multi-model, multi-channel deep survival prediction framework achieves an accuracy of 90.66%, outperforming all the competing methods. This study indicates highly demanded effectiveness on prognosis of deep learning technique in neuro-oncological applications for better individualized treatment planning towards precision medicine.

Project description:Random Survival Forests (RSF) has recently showed better performance than statistical survival methods as Cox proportional hazard (CPH) in predicting conversion risk from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, RSF application in real-world clinical setting is still limited due to its black-box nature.For this reason, we aimed at providing a comprehensive study of RSF explainability with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) on biomarkers of stable and progressive patients (sMCI and pMCI) from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. We evaluated three global explanations-RSF feature importance, permutation importance and SHAP importance-and we quantitatively compared them with Rank-Biased Overlap (RBO). Moreover, we assessed whether multicollinearity among variables may perturb SHAP outcome. Lastly, we stratified pMCI test patients in high, medium and low risk grade, to investigate individual SHAP explanation of one pMCI patient per risk group.We confirmed that RSF had higher accuracy (0.890) than CPH (0.819), and its stability and robustness was demonstrated by high overlap (RBO > 90%) between feature rankings within first eight features. SHAP local explanations with and without correlated variables had no substantial difference, showing that multicollinearity did not alter the model. FDG, ABETA42 and HCI were the first important features in global explanations, with the highest contribution also in local explanation. FAQ, mPACCdigit, mPACCtrailsB and RAVLT immediate had the highest influence among all clinical and neuropsychological assessments in increasing progression risk, as particularly evident in pMCI patients' individual explanation. In conclusion, our findings suggest that RSF represents a useful tool to support clinicians in estimating conversion-to-AD risk and that SHAP explainer boosts its clinical utility with intelligible and interpretable individual outcomes that highlights key features associated with AD prognosis.

Project description:BackgroundDrug-target interaction (DTI) prediction has become a crucial prerequisite in drug design and drug discovery. However, the traditional biological experiment is time-consuming and expensive, as there are abundant complex interactions present in the large size of genomic and chemical spaces. For alleviating this phenomenon, plenty of computational methods are conducted to effectively complement biological experiments and narrow the search spaces into a preferred candidate domain. Whereas, most of the previous approaches cannot fully consider association behavior semantic information based on several schemas to represent complex the structure of heterogeneous biological networks. Additionally, the prediction of DTI based on single modalities cannot satisfy the demand for prediction accuracy.MethodsWe propose a multi-modal representation framework of 'DeepMPF' based on meta-path semantic analysis, which effectively utilizes heterogeneous information to predict DTI. Specifically, we first construct protein-drug-disease heterogeneous networks composed of three entities. Then the feature information is obtained under three views, containing sequence modality, heterogeneous structure modality and similarity modality. We proposed six representative schemas of meta-path to preserve the high-order nonlinear structure and catch hidden structural information of the heterogeneous network. Finally, DeepMPF generates highly representative comprehensive feature descriptors and calculates the probability of interaction through joint learning.ResultsTo evaluate the predictive performance of DeepMPF, comparison experiments are conducted on four gold datasets. Our method can obtain competitive performance in all datasets. We also explore the influence of the different feature embedding dimensions, learning strategies and classification methods. Meaningfully, the drug repositioning experiments on COVID-19 and HIV demonstrate DeepMPF can be applied to solve problems in reality and help drug discovery. The further analysis of molecular docking experiments enhances the credibility of the drug candidates predicted by DeepMPF.ConclusionsAll the results demonstrate the effectively predictive capability of DeepMPF for drug-target interactions. It can be utilized as a useful tool to prescreen the most potential drug candidates for the protein. The web server of the DeepMPF predictor is freely available at http://120.77.11.78/DeepMPF/ , which can help relevant researchers to further study.

Dataset Information

Predicting time-to-conversion for dementia of Alzheimer's type using multi-modal deep survival analysis.

Publications

Predicting time-to-conversion for dementia of Alzheimer's type using multi-modal deep survival analysis.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets