A glimpse into the future: modelling global prevalence of hypertension.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. Insights and foresights on trends of hypertension prevalence are crucial to informing health policymaking. We examined and projected the patterns of hypertension prevalence among sexes.

Methods

Using annual hypertension prevalence (18 + years) data sourced from WHO Global Health Observatory data repository from 1975 to 2015, Prophet models were developed to forecast the 2040 prevalence of hypertension in males, females, and both sexes. We used k-means clustering and self-organising maps to determine the clusters of hypertension prevalence concerning both sexes among 176 countries.

Results

Worldwide, Croatia is estimated to have the highest prevalence of hypertension in males by 2040, while tha

SUBMITTER: Boateng EB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10546636 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature