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Public health impact of 2-, 4-, and 9-valent HPV vaccination in females on cervical and noncervical diseases in men and women under different coverage scenarios in China: A simulation study.

ABSTRACT: The high prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in China suggests there would be a substantial positive health impact of widespread vaccination against HPV. We adapted a previously described dynamic transmission model of the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases to the Chinese setting to estimate the public health impact in China of 2-valent (with and without cross-protection), 4-valent, and 9-valent HPV vaccination strategies. The model predicted the incidence and mortality associated with HPV-related diseases, including cervical and noncervical cancers, genital warts, and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP), based on the various vaccination coverage rate (VCR) scenarios, over a 100-year time horizon. The public health impact of the 4 vaccination strategies was estimated in terms of cases and deaths averted compared to a scenario with no vaccination. Under the assumption of various primary and catch-up VCR scenarios, all 4 vaccination strategies reduced the incidence of cervical cancer in females and noncervical cancers in both sexes, and the 4-valent and 9-valent vaccines reduced the incidence of genital warts and RRP in both sexes. The 9-valent vaccination strategy was superior on all outcomes. The number of cervical cancer cases averted over 100 years ranged from ~ 1 million to ~ 5 million while the number of cervical cancer deaths averted was ~ 345,000 to ~ 1.9 million cases, depending on the VCR scenario. The VCR for primary vaccination was the major driver of cases averted.

SUBMITTER: Diakite I

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10549189 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Public health impact of 2-, 4-, and 9-valent HPV vaccination in females on cervical and noncervical diseases in men and women under different coverage scenarios in China: A simulation study.

Diakite Ibrahim I Kyle Jeffrey J Situ Sujian S Bai Peng P Zhang Xingxing X Wang Wei W Daniels Vincent V

Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics 20230801 2

The high prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in China suggests there would be a substantial positive health impact of widespread vaccination against HPV. We adapted a previously described dynamic transmission model of the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases to the Chinese setting to estimate the public health impact in China of 2-valent (with and without cross-protection), 4-valent, and 9-valent HPV vaccination strategies. The model predicted the incidence and mo ...[more]

PMID: 37787054

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Since March 2014, the quadrivalent HPV vaccine has been incorporated into the Brazilian Unified Health Care System and began to be offered, without direct costs, for girls from 9 to 13?years of age. Older female adolescents would have the option to be vaccinated at private health care system being responsible for the payment of HPV vaccine. The present study aimed to evaluate the coverage rates and predictors of HPV vaccination in Brazil among two groups of female adolescents: eligible and non-eligible for the HPV vaccination public program. METHODS:We used data from the 2015 Brazilian National Adolescent School-Based Health Survey, which involved a probabilistic sample of 5404 female adolescents students at public and private schools. Using a questionnaire, we gathered information on sociodemographic characteristics, sexual behavior, and respondent perception of parental supervision and have been vaccinated for HPV. Age-specific vaccination rates were analyzed in girls aged 9 to 13 at the time of public vaccination (eligible for public policy), as well among those 14 to 17?years old not eligible by the Ministry of Health for vaccination. We used Poisson regression models to investigate associated factors. RESULTS:HPV vaccine coverage was 83.5 and 21.8% among eligible and non-eligible populations, respectively. In both populations, the chance of being vaccinated decreased with older age. In the eligible population there is a greater chance of being vaccinated among ethnic group "pardas" but not with other indicators of socioeconomic status. In the non-eligible population, there was a clear association between higher vaccine coverage and greater maternal education and living with the mother. CONCLUSION:Our findings highlight the importance of public policies to minimize inequities in access to cancer prevention measures in vulnerable adolescents. A public policy of HPV vaccination for older female adolescents would increase coverage with possible reduction of HPV-related diseases in this group of women.

Project description:ImportancePatients who have been treated for high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN grade ≥2) are at a high risk for subsequent CIN and other cancers and diseases related to human papillomavirus (HPV). HPV vaccination can reduce the risk of subsequent disease in patients surgically treated for grade 2 or greater CIN; however, there is no formal recommendation for prophylactic HPV vaccination in this high-risk population, and the cost-effectiveness is unknown.ObjectiveTo assess the incremental lifetime outcomes, costs, and cost-effectiveness of integrating peritreatment 9-valent HPV (9vHPV) vaccination in combination with posttreatment surveillance for the prevention of cervical cancer and other HPV-attributable diseases in patients surgically treated for grade 2 or greater CIN vs posttreatment surveillance alone from a UK payer perspective.Design, setting, and participantsThis economic evaluation used 3 independent Markov model structures. Model inputs for vaccine efficacy, utilities, and costs were obtained from published sources, and cervical cancer screening data were obtained from the National Health Service Cervical Screening Program. Costs were adjusted to 2022 to 2023 reference years. Data were analyzed from October 2022 to September 2023.ExposurePeritreatment vaccination with 9vHPV in combination with posttreatment surveillance compared with posttreatment surveillance alone.Main outcomes and measuresClinical outcomes included grade 1, 2, or 3 CIN; cervical cancer; vaginal cancer; vulvar cancer; anal cancer; head and neck cancer; genital warts; and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) using a willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP) of £20 000 (US $26 200) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) were estimated. Deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed.ResultsVaccination with 9vHPV in conjunction with posttreatment surveillance was cost-effective, with a favorable ICER of £13 789.07 (US $18 064.68) per QALY gained (ie, below the WTP of £20 000 per QALY) vs posttreatment surveillance alone. The resulting ICER was £52 358.01 (US $68 588.99) per HPV-related cancer averted and £64 090 (US $83 958.18) per HPV-related cancer death averted. The ICER was most sensitive to discount rate, incidence of HPV infection, vaccine price, and age at initial treatment for grade 2 or greater CIN. Results of the probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed peritreatment 9vHPV vaccination was cost-effective at the WTP recommended by the UK's Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (90% of iterations <£30 000 [US $39 300] per QALY) in 100% of iterations.Conclusions and relevanceThese findings suggest that peritreatment prophylactic 9vHPV vaccination is a cost-effective option for preventing subsequent HPV-attributable diseases in patients surgically treated for grade 2 or greater CIN.

Dataset Information

Public health impact of 2-, 4-, and 9-valent HPV vaccination in females on cervical and noncervical diseases in men and women under different coverage scenarios in China: A simulation study.

Publications

Public health impact of 2-, 4-, and 9-valent HPV vaccination in females on cervical and noncervical diseases in men and women under different coverage scenarios in China: A simulation study.

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