Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming.

ABSTRACT: The new and updated emission reduction pledges submitted by countries ahead of COP26 represent a meaningful strengthening of global ambition compared to the 2015 Paris pledges^1,2. Yet, limiting global warming below 1.5°C this century will require countries to ratchet ambition for 2030 and beyond^2-6. We explore a suite of emissions pathways in which countries ratchet and achieve ambition through a combination of increasing near-term ambition through 2030, accelerating post-2030 decarbonization, and advancing the dates for national net-zero pledges. We show that ratcheting near-term ambition through 2030 will be crucial to limiting peak temperature changes. Delaying ratcheting ambition to beyond 2030 could still deliver end-of-century temperature change of less than 1.5

SUBMITTER: Iyer G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10569109 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature