Interpretable spatial identity neural network-based epidemic prediction.

ABSTRACT: Epidemic spatial-temporal risk analysis, e.g., infectious number forecasting, is a mainstream task in the multivariate time series research field, which plays a crucial role in the public health management process. With the rise of deep learning methods, many studies have focused on the epidemic prediction problem. However, recent primary prediction techniques face two challenges: the overcomplicated model and unsatisfactory interpretability. Therefore, this paper proposes an Interpretable Spatial IDentity (ISID) neural network to predict infectious numbers at the regional weekly level, which employs a light model structure and provides post-hoc explanations. First, this paper streamlines the classical spatio-temporal identity model (STID) and retains the optional spatial identity matrix f

SUBMITTER: Luo L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10598274 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature