Mapping the spatial heterogeneity of global land use and land cover from 2020 to 2100 at a 1 km resolution.

ABSTRACT: A fine global future land use/land cover (LULC) is critical for demonstrating the geographic heterogeneity of earth system dynamics and human-earth interaction. In this study, we produced a 1 km global future LULC dataset that takes into account future climate and socio-economic changes as well as the impact of simulated results of the former year on temporally adjacent periods. By incorporating the variations in climatic and socio-economic factors, we differentiated LULC suitability probabilities for historical and future periods across representative SSP-RCP scenarios. Then, by using an improved cellular automata model-PLUS to simulate the patch-level changes of various land classes, we iteratively downscaled water-basin-level LULC demands in various future scenarios to a spatial resolut

SUBMITTER: Zhang T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10613310 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature