Proteomics reveal biomarkers for diagnosis, disease activity and long-term disability outcomes in multiple sclerosis.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Akesson J
PROVIDER: S-EPMC10616092 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Proteomics reveal biomarkers for diagnosis, disease activity and long-term disability outcomes in multiple sclerosis.
Åkesson Julia J Hojjati Sara S Hellberg Sandra S Raffetseder Johanna J Khademi Mohsen M Rynkowski Robert R Kockum Ingrid I Altafini Claudio C Lubovac-Pilav Zelmina Z Mellergård Johan J Jenmalm Maria C MC Piehl Fredrik F Olsson Tomas T Ernerudh Jan J Gustafsson Mika M
Nature communications 20231030 1
Sensitive and reliable protein biomarkers are needed to predict disease trajectory and personalize treatment strategies for multiple sclerosis (MS). Here, we use the highly sensitive proximity-extension assay combined with next-generation sequencing (Olink Explore) to quantify 1463 proteins in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma from 143 people with early-stage MS and 43 healthy controls. With longitudinally followed discovery and replication cohorts, we identify CSF proteins that consistently ...[more]
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Project description:Establishing biomarkers to predict multiple sclerosis diagnosis and prognosis has been challenging using a single biomarker approach. We hypothesised that a combination of biomarkers would increase the accuracy of prediction models to differentiate multiple sclerosis from other neurological disorders and enhance prognostication for people with multiple sclerosis. We measured 24 fluid biomarkers in the blood and cerebrospinal fluid of 77 people with multiple sclerosis and 80 people with other neurological disorders, using ELISA or Single Molecule Array assays. Primary outcomes were multiple sclerosis versus any other diagnosis, time to first relapse, and time to disability milestone (Expanded Disability Status Scale 6), adjusted for age and sex. Multivariate prediction models were calculated using the area under the curve value for diagnostic prediction, and concordance statistics (the percentage of each pair of events that are correctly ordered in time for each of the Cox regression models) for prognostic predictions. Predictions using combinations of biomarkers were considerably better than single biomarker predictions. The combination of cerebrospinal fluid [chitinase-3-like-1 + TNF-receptor-1 + CD27] and serum [osteopontin + MCP-1] had an area under the curve of 0.97 for diagnosis of multiple sclerosis, compared to the best discriminative single marker in blood (osteopontin: area under the curve 0.84) and in cerebrospinal fluid (chitinase-3-like-1 area under the curve 0.84). Prediction for time to next relapse was optimal with a combination of cerebrospinal fluid[vitamin D binding protein + Factor I + C1inhibitor] + serum[Factor B + Interleukin-4 + C1inhibitor] (concordance 0.80), and time to Expanded Disability Status Scale 6 with cerebrospinal fluid [C9 + Neurofilament-light] + serum[chitinase-3-like-1 + CCL27 + vitamin D binding protein + C1inhibitor] (concordance 0.98). A combination of fluid biomarkers has a higher accuracy to differentiate multiple sclerosis from other neurological disorders and significantly improved the prediction of the development of sustained disability in multiple sclerosis. Serum models rivalled those of cerebrospinal fluid, holding promise for a non-invasive approach. The utility of our biomarker models can only be established by robust validation in different and varied cohorts.
| S-EPMC10874571 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo characterize the accrual of long-term disability in a cohort of actively treated multiple sclerosis (MS) patients and to assess whether clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data used in clinical trials have long-term prognostic value.MethodsThis is a prospective study of 517 actively managed MS patients enrolled at a single center.ResultsMore than 91% of patients were retained, with data ascertained up to 10 years after the baseline visit. At this last assessment, neurologic disability as measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) was stable or improved compared to baseline in 41% of patients. Subjects with no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) by clinical and MRI criteria during the first 2 years had long-term outcomes that were no different from those of the cohort as a whole. 25-OH vitamin D serum levels were inversely associated with short-term MS disease activity; however, these levels had no association with long-term disability. At a median time of 16.8 years after disease onset, 10.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 7.2-14%) of patients reached an EDSS ≥ 6, and 18.1% (95% CI = 13.5-22.5%) evolved from relapsing MS to secondary progressive MS (SPMS).InterpretationRates of worsening and evolution to SPMS were substantially lower when compared to earlier natural history studies. Notably, the NEDA 2-year endpoint was not a predictor of long-term stability. Finally, the data call into question the utility of annual MRI assessments as a treat-to-target approach for MS care. Ann Neurol 2016;80:499-510.
| S-EPMC5105678 | biostudies-literature
Project description:OBJECTIVE:Evidence for a role of microglia in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS) is growing. We investigated association of microglial markers at time of diagnostic lumbar puncture (LP) with different aspects of disease activity (relapses, disability, magnetic resonance imaging parameters) up to 6 years later in a cohort of 143 patients. METHODS:In cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), we measured 3 macrophage and microglia-related proteins, chitotriosidase (CHIT1), chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1 or YKL-40), and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (sTREM2), as well as a marker of neuronal damage, neurofilament light chain (NfL), using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and electrochemiluminescence. We investigated the same microglia-related markers in publicly available RNA expression data from postmortem brain tissue. RESULTS:CHIT1 levels at diagnostic LP correlated with 2 aspects of long-term disease activity after correction for multiple testing. First, CHIT1 increased with reduced tissue integrity in lesions at a median 3 years later (p = 9.6E-04). Second, CHIT1 reflected disease severity at a median 5 years later (p = 1.2E-04). Together with known clinical covariates, CHIT1 levels explained 12% and 27% of variance in these 2 measures, respectively, and were able to distinguish slow and fast disability progression (area under the curve = 85%). CHIT1 was the best discriminator of chronic active versus chronic inactive lesions and the only marker correlated with NfL (r = 0.3, p = 0.0019). Associations with disease activity were, however, independent of NfL. INTERPRETATION:CHIT1 CSF levels measured during the diagnostic LP reflect microglial activation early on in MS and can be considered a valuable prognostic biomarker for future disease activity. ANN NEUROL 2020;87:633-645.
| S-EPMC7187166 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundTeriflunomide 14 mg significantly reduced brain volume loss (BVL) and confirmed disability worsening (CDW) compared with placebo in the TEMSO core study.ObjectiveTo investigate the relationship between BVL from Baseline to Year 2 in the TEMSO core study and long-term CDW (Year 7) in the TEMSO long-term extension (NCT00803049).MethodsStructural Image Evaluation using Normalization of Atrophy determined BVL. Long-term CDW was assessed by Expanded Disability Status Scale confirmed for 12 and 24 weeks. An additional analysis evaluated the relative contribution of BVL (Year 2) and other outcomes as potential mediators of the effect of teriflunomide 14 mg on 12-week CDW.ResultsPatients with the least BVL were significantly less likely to have 12- and 24-week CDW at Year 7 compared with patients with the most BVL. A mediation analysis revealed that BVL (Year 2) explained 51.3% of the treatment effect on CDW; new or enlarging T2w lesions over 2 years explained 30.8%, and relapses in the first 2 years explained 38.5%.ConclusionsThese results highlight the potential predictive value of BVL earlier in the disease course on long-term disability outcomes. The mediation analysis suggests that teriflunomide may prevent disability worsening largely through its effects on BVL.
| S-EPMC7493202 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Predicting the long-term outcome of multiple sclerosis (MS) remains an important challenge to this day. As the gut microbiota is emerging as a potential player in MS, we investigated in this study whether gut microbial composition at baseline is related to long-term disability worsening in a longitudinal cohort of 111 MS patients. Fecal samples and extensive host metadata were collected at baseline and 3 months post-baseline, with additional repeated neurological measurements performed over (median) 4.4 y. Worsening (with EDSS-Plus) occurred in 39/95 patients (outcome undetermined for 16 individuals). The inflammation-associated, dysbiotic Bacteroides 2 enterotype (Bact2) was detected at baseline in 43.6% of worsened patients, while only 16.1% of non-worsened patients harbored Bact2. This association was independent of identified confounders, and Bact2 was more strongly associated with EDSS-Plus than neurofilament light chain (NfL) plasma levels. Furthermore, using fecal sampling performed 3 months post-baseline, we observed Bact2 to be relatively stable, suggesting its potential use as a prognostic biomarker in MS clinical practice.
| S-EPMC9980703 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportancePediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (PoMS) is associated with significant cognitive and physical disability. Whether this disability translates into differences in educational achievements and earnings is unknown.ObjectiveTo evaluate the association between PoMS and educational level and income throughout adulthood.Design, setting, and participantsA prospective register-based cohort study of individuals with PoMS and a population-based matched reference cohort was conducted using nationwide microdata from linked registers in Sweden from January 1, 1990, to December 31, 2016; analyses were completed from May 1, 2019, to September 1, 2020. Of 772 persons with PoMS identified in the Swedish MS registry, 485 had an onset during the period from 1980 to 2014 and had socioeconomic data available. The general population reference cohort without multiple sclerosis (MS) (n = 4850) was randomly selected from the full Swedish population, matched 10:1 on age, sex, and country of birth.ExposurePediatric-onset MS, diagnosed by a neurologist, with onset before 18 years of age.Main outcomes and measuresHighest educational level (elementary school, high school, or university) was assessed using logistic regression. Income, measured as the mean annual earnings from paid work in US dollars, was compared using Tobit models, and net annual sickness absence and disability pension days were compared using zero-inflated negative binomial regression. Earnings and days receiving disability benefits were compared within 4 age periods (19-24, 25-34, 35-44, and 45-54 years).ResultsThe median age of the cohort with PoMS (n = 485) and the matched reference cohort (n = 4850) in 2016 was 32 years (interquartile range, 26-40 years), and most participants were women (348 [71.8%] in the PoMS cohort and 3480 [71.8%] in the matched reference cohort). Persons with PoMS were less likely than persons in the matched reference cohort to attend university (odds ratio, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.66-0.97]) and had significantly lower annual earnings than the reference cohort, ranging from -$1618 (95% CI, -$2558 to -$678) in the youngest age period to -$10 683 (95% CI, -$18 187 to -$3178) in the eldest. Persons with PoMS received higher rates of disability benefits, as sickness absence days in the youngest age period (rate ratio, 3.06 [95% CI, 2.08-4.52]) and disability pension days in the oldest age period (rate ratio, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.11-1.85]).Conclusions and relevanceThis study suggests that having PoMS is associated with less educational achievement, lower earnings, and greater use of disability benefits throughout the working-age life span. As adults, persons with PoMS never earned as much as their counterparts without MS, and they exhibited a heavier reliance on disability benefits.
| S-EPMC7900935 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundAlthough recovery from relapses in MS appears to contribute to disability, it has largely been ignored as a treatment endpoint and disability predictor.ObjectiveTo identify demographic and clinical predictors of relapse recovery in the first 3 years and examine its contribution to 10-year disability and MRI outcomes.MethodsRelapse recovery was retrospectively assessed in 360 patients with MS using the return of the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), Functional System Scale and neurologic signs to baseline at least 6 months after onset. Univariate and multivariable models were used to associate recovery with demographic and clinical factors and predict 10-year outcomes.ResultsRecovery from relapses in the first 3 years was better in patients who were younger, on disease-modifying treatment, with a longer disease duration and without bowel or bladder symptoms. For every incomplete recovery, 10-year EDSS increased by 0.6 and 10-year timed 25-foot walk increased by 0.5 s. These outcomes were also higher with older age and higher baseline BMI. Ten-year MRI brain atrophy was associated only with older age, and MRI lesion volume was only associated with smoking.ConclusionsEarly initiation of disease-modifying treatment in MS was associated with improved relapse recovery, which in turn prevented long-term disability.
| S-EPMC8165535 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We conducted a retrospective analysis on multiple sclerosis (MS) patients with perceived cognitive decline and long disease duration to investigate early predictors of future cognitive impairment (CI) and motor disability. Sixty-five patients complaining of cognitive decline were assessed with an extensive neuropsychological battery at the last clinical follow-up and classified as mildly impaired, severely impaired, and cognitively spared based on the results. Motor disability was assessed with EDSS, MSSS, and ARMSS. Baseline demographic, clinical, and imaging parameters were retrospectively collected and inserted in separate multivariate regression models to investigate the predictive power of future impairment. Twenty-one patients (32.3%) showed no CI, seventeen (26.2%) showed mild CI, and twenty-seven (41.5%) showed severe CI. Older and less educated patients with higher EDSS, longer disease duration, and higher white matter lesion load (WMLL) at diagnosis (particularly with cerebellar involvement) were more likely to develop CI after a mean follow-up from diagnosis of 16.5 ± 6.9 years. DMT exposure was protective. The multivariate regression analyses confirmed WMLL, disease duration, and educational levels as the parameters with significant predictive value for future CI (R2 adjusted: 0.338 p: 0.001). Older patients with progressive phenotype both at diagnosis and T1 were more likely to be not fully ambulatory at T1 (R2 adjusted: 0.796 p: 0.0001). Our results further expand knowledge on early predictors of cognitive decline and evolution over time.
| S-EPMC9864935 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundOdour discrimination and identification (DI) are markers associated with disability worsening and neuroaxonal damage in multiple sclerosis (MS).ObjectiveThe main objective of this research is to investigate whether longitudinal change of DI predicts long-term MS disease course.MethodsThis is a 6-year prospective longitudinal study on MS patients at the MS Clinic Innsbruck. Clinical, bi-annual visits assessed patients' history and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score. DI and cognitive function were assessed at baseline (BL), Year 1 (Y1), Year 2 (Y2) and Year 6 (Y6) by the 'Sniffin' Sticks'/Symbol Digit Modalities Test.ResultsAround 92 of 139 patients were available for Y6 follow-up. Mean DI scores significantly decreased over time (BL = 27.8, Y1 = 27.5, Y2 = 26.3 and Y6 = 26.3; p < 0.001) and negatively correlated with patients' age (rs = -0.120, p = 0.032) and disease duration (rs = -0.103, p = 0.041). Multivariable regression analyses revealed that lower absolute DI scores and larger DI score loss over time were associated with higher probability of EDSS worsening (per -1 point: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40 (1.16-1.68) and 2.34 (1.27-4.21)), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) (HR = 1.49 (1.20-1.85) and 2.22 (1.33-3.31)) and cognitive deterioration (HR = 1.75 (1.35-2.27) and 4.29 (1.26-2.84)) at Y6, but not with time to first relapse.ConclusionOdour DI is an irreversible marker of neuroaxonal damage, associated with PIRA, cognitive deterioration and EDSS worsening.
| S-EPMC10782652 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceAutologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) may be effective in aggressive forms of multiple sclerosis (MS) that fail to respond to standard therapies.ObjectiveTo evaluate the long-term outcomes in patients who underwent AHSCT for the treatment of MS in a large multicenter cohort.Design, setting, and participantsData were obtained in a multicenter, observational, retrospective cohort study. Eligibility criteria were receipt of AHSCT for the treatment of MS between January 1995 and December 2006 and the availability of a prespecified minimum data set comprising the disease subtype at baseline; the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score at baseline; information on the administered conditioning regimen and graft manipulation; and at least 1 follow-up visit or report after transplant. The last patient visit was on July 1, 2012. To avoid bias, all eligible patients were included in the analysis regardless of their duration of follow-up. Data analysis was conducted from September 1, 2014 to April 27, 2015.ExposuresDemographic, disease-related, and treatment-related exposures were considered variables of interest, including age, disease subtype, baseline EDSS score, number of previous disease-modifying treatments, and intensity of the conditioning regimen.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcomes were MS progression-free survival and overall survival. The probabilities of progression-free survival and overall survival were calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis models.ResultsValid data were obtained from 25 centers in 13 countries for 281 evaluable patients, with median follow-up of 6.6 years (range, 0.2-16 years). Seventy-eight percent (218 of 281) of patients had progressive forms of MS. The median EDSS score before mobilization of peripheral blood stem cells was 6.5 (range, 1.5-9). Eight deaths (2.8%; 95% CI, 1.0%-4.9%) were reported within 100 days of transplant and were considered transplant-related mortality. The 5-year probability of progression-free survival as assessed by the EDSS score was 46% (95% CI, 42%-54%), and overall survival was 93% (95% CI, 89%-96%) at 5 years. Factors associated with neurological progression after transplant were older age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00-1.05), progressive vs relapsing form of MS (HR, 2.33; 95% CI, 1.27-4.28), and more than 2 previous disease-modifying therapies (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.10-2.47). Higher baseline EDSS score was associated with worse overall survival (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.40-2.95).Conclusions and relevanceIn this observational study of patients with MS treated with AHSCT, almost half of them remained free from neurological progression for 5 years after transplant. Younger age, relapsing form of MS, fewer prior immunotherapies, and lower baseline EDSS score were factors associated with better outcomes. The results support the rationale for further randomized clinical trials of AHSCT for the treatment of MS.
| S-EPMC5744858 | biostudies-literature