Development and validation of a multimorbidity risk prediction nomogram among Chinese middle-aged and older adults: a retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

The aim of this study is to establish a self-simple-to-use nomogram to predict the risk of multimorbidity among middle-aged and older adults.

Design

A retrospective cohort study.

Participants

We used data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, including 7735 samples.

Main outcome measures

Samples' demographic characteristics, modifiable lifestyles and depression were collected. Cox proportional hazard models and nomogram model were used to estimate the risk factors of multimorbidity.

Results

A total of 3576 (46.2%) participants have multimorbidity. The result showed that age, female (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.89), chronic disease (HR 2.59, 95% CI 2.38 to 2.82), sleep time (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.85), regular physical activi

SUBMITTER: Zheng X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10632863 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature