Modeling the future of tobacco control: Using SimSmoke to explore the feasibility of the tobacco endgame in Korea.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

We used a simulation model to assess the feasibility of reaching the tobacco endgame target (reducing the smoking prevalence to below 5% by 2050) and explored potential implementation strategies.

Methods

The impact of strengthened tobacco-control policies on smoking prevalence was analyzed using Korea SimSmoke, a discrete-time Markov process. We considered the effects of various scenarios from 2023 and predictions were conducted until 2050. To confirm the stability of the results, deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were carried out by increasing and decreasing parameter estimates.

Results

The implementation of tobacco-control policies in accordance with the WHO MPOWER (Μonitor tobacco use and prevention policies; Protect people from toba

SUBMITTER: Kim H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10632939 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature