Prediction of Ross River Virus Incidence Using Mosquito Data in Three Cities of Queensland, Australia.

ABSTRACT: Ross River virus (RRV) is the most common mosquito-borne disease in Australia, with Queensland recording high incidence rates (with an annual average incidence rate of 0.05% over the last 20 years). Accurate prediction of RRV incidence is critical for disease management and control. Many factors, including mosquito abundance, climate, weather, geographical factors, and socio-economic indices, can influence the RRV transmission cycle and thus have potential utility as predictors of RRV incidence. We collected mosquito data from the city councils of Brisbane, Redlands, and Mackay in Queensland, together with other meteorological and geographical data. Predictors were selected to build negative binomial generalised linear models for prediction. The models demonstrated excellent performance in

SUBMITTER: Qian W 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10669834 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature